Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.027201 0.029257 0.031324 0.033556 0.035895 0.038272 0.040866
2026-01-11 0.023213 0.026416 0.029757 0.033493 0.037540 0.041780 0.046546
2026-01-18 0.021290 0.025196 0.029376 0.034157 0.039450 0.045105 0.051578
2026-01-25 0.019370 0.023735 0.028511 0.034083 0.040364 0.047184 0.055110
2026-02-01 0.017820 0.022534 0.027796 0.034043 0.041197 0.049073 0.058342
2026-02-08 0.016472 0.021453 0.027117 0.033950 0.041886 0.050732 0.061258
2026-02-15 0.015277 0.020466 0.026470 0.033822 0.042472 0.052223 0.063942
2026-02-22 0.014264 0.019629 0.025939 0.033773 0.043103 0.053728 0.066613
2026-03-01 0.013195 0.018659 0.025194 0.033418 0.043329 0.054729 0.068673
2026-03-08 0.012053 0.017534 0.024203 0.032716 0.043095 0.055153 0.070030
2026-03-15 0.011033 0.016510 0.023287 0.032057 0.042872 0.055556 0.071333
2026-03-22 0.010698 0.016353 0.023439 0.032700 0.044217 0.057817 0.074832
2026-03-29 0.010042 0.015777 0.023080 0.032748 0.044897 0.059366 0.077598
2026-04-05 0.009355 0.015133 0.022618 0.032659 0.045415 0.060739 0.080191
2026-04-12 0.009029 0.014960 0.022751 0.033314 0.046849 0.063220 0.084123
2026-04-19 0.008445 0.014395 0.022338 0.033241 0.047349 0.064549 0.086651
2026-04-26 0.007920 0.013881 0.021969 0.033202 0.047876 0.065898 0.089200
2026-05-03 0.007415 0.013369 0.021575 0.033110 0.048318 0.067131 0.091602
2026-05-10 0.006934 0.012865 0.021171 0.032984 0.048699 0.068279 0.093893
2026-05-17 0.006514 0.012427 0.020839 0.032937 0.049170 0.069530 0.096310
2026-05-24 0.006027 0.011861 0.020301 0.032588 0.049229 0.070248 0.098053
2026-05-31 0.005473 0.011155 0.019534 0.031897 0.048812 0.070342 0.099000
2026-06-07 0.004972 0.010503 0.018817 0.031250 0.048429 0.070461 0.099964